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Did Seeds or Scholars Bend the Genetic Curve?

Farming and Confucian institutions enter the same ancient DNA model

Davide Piffer's avatar
Davide Piffer
Oct 14, 2026
∙ Paid
Map of 1,384 ancient DNA samples at 201 reported East Asian coordinates. Circles are sized by sample count and colored by five model groups; most samples are in core China.
Map 1. Sampling locations for the 1,384 people in the joint farming–Confucian model. Larger circles contain more people; one coordinate may cover several cemetery contexts.

A seed and an examination paper belonged to very different chapters of East Asian history. Farming arrived thousands of years before the schools and court traditions that we associate with Confucianism. Yet an ancient genome from a later century sits after both events. That makes it surprisingly easy to mistake one long genetic trend for evidence of two different causes.

In Did Farming Make Us Smarter?, I found a change in an education-related genetic score around local crop arrival. In Did Confucianism Select for Education?, I found another near regional Confucian milestones. Now I put both dates into the same analysis and add a score linked to fluid intelligence. If the Confucian bend was farming in disguise, it should shrink. It barely does. The farming signal, meanwhile, tells a more complicated story.

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